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  • Blog Category 1 Home Builders Offer Incentives Patrick Rabelo
    25 Aug 08

    Posted August 25, 2008

    In a Slow Market, Builders Offer Big Incentives

    Wall Street Journal--August 25, 2008

    This is an interesting article about new home builders and the BIG incentives they are offering. Yes, Yes, I know, the market is still adjusting and you are wondering why I would encourage you to consider a new home purchase?

    Answer: because new home starts have hit a 17 year low and it would be to your advantage to at least start a discussion with a builder to see what they can offer!  Many builders can offer competitive interest rates, steep discounts on prices, and most importantly, many of the builders are still willing to entertain the Nehemiah program!

    One of my clients has placed over 10 offers requesting Nehemiah participation and most Short-Sale and REO lenders are no longer entertaining those types of offers.  Remember, starting October 1, 2008, the new housing laws take effect and Nehemiah will no longer be a viable option. Take advantage of the window of opportunity one still has to purchase a new home.  Builders will still work with a first-time homebuyer utilizing the Nehemiah program. Have a comment? Please share them below.

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  • Blog Category 1 Goodbye Downpayment Assistance Patrick Rabelo
    30 Jul 08

    Posted July 30, 2008

    What The New Housing Law Means For You

    Bankrate.com--July 30, 2008

    After reading the above article, I have mixed feelings about the new housing law that was signed by President George W. Bush.

    In concept, I understand that the FED had to take action to help stabilize the faltering housing market.  I also understand the need to help stabilize Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.  Here is where the FED and I part ways.

    One of the provisions of the new housing bill mandates that downpayment gifts offered through non-profit organizations like the Nehemiah program will no longer be available to firt-time homebuyers as of October 2008. 

    Instead, a first-time homebuyer's tax credit of $7,500 will be offered and the first-time homebuyer will have 15 years to repay the credit.  Here is where I do not understand the logic of the FED.

    Currently, most of the first-time homebuyers I assist do not have a problem paying the montly mortgage.  Most of the first-time homebuyers I work with report they cannot come up with the downpayment.  Now, the majority of the purchasers of todays market are either first-time homebuyers or investors.  Investors have vast sources of cash to work with and first-time homebuyers rely on financing that is becomming more stringent relative to lending requirements. Increased downpayments are limiting the buyers pool of first-time homebuyers. My question is: how is removing seller-funded down-payment assistance going to help stimulate sales of a stagnate resale market?

    More importantly, new home starts are a critical component to jump starting the housing market.  Based on the above article, 33% of one builder's clients utilized down-payment assistance! How can eliminating 33 out of 100 sales be considered market stimulation? Why would a builder want to produce new homes when they can not sell the units fast enough? What are your thoughts?  Please share your comments below. 

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  • Blog Category 1 Market Stabilization or Bailout? Patrick Rabelo
    25 Jul 08

    Posted July 25, 2008

    Housing Bill Clears Final Senate Hurdle

    Wall Street Journal Article--July 25, 2008

    It is apparent that the Housing Bill designed to curb the foreclosure crisis in America will become law.  Some Americans believe this is nothing more than a government bailout that rewards irresponsible lenders and borrowers. 

    According to the above Wall Street Journal Article, "lawmakers have described the bill as the 'most important piece of housing legislation in a generation' intended to stabilize the still faltering housing market".  What are your thoughts?  Please share your comments below. 

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  • Blog Category 1 Vulture Investors or Savvy Buyers? Patrick Rabelo
    07 Jul 08

    Posted July 7, 2008

    Vulture Real Estate Investors Swoop In

    CNN.Com July 5, 2008

    Is it a good time to buy? This is the question of much debate and depending on who you ask, you will receive varied answers.  It really comes down to risk and your motivation.

    Personally, I am waiting for the prices to come down further because I have access to cash and do not have to factor interest rates going up as part of the decision making process.

    On the other hand, if there are properties that I want to finance, I would be seriously considering a purchase because prices have come down to a point where "cash flowing" a property for a postive return is very possible and I would not want to erode the potential "cash flow" profit because of increased interest payments.

    As the attached article illustrates, many investors are swooping in and going directly to the bank and securing strings of properties at steep discounts.  This methodology works well if you are buying a bank's  inventory wholesale and have a large bankroll of cash backing you. If you are like most people, it is probable that you will need financing, therefore, interest rates are going to weigh in the buying decision. What are your thoughts? Are bargain hunter investors helping or hurting the Real Estate market's recovery? Please share your comments below.

     

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Rabelo Group Blog

Fed Cuts Rates 25 Basis Points

Fed Rate Cut Benefits Might be Months Away

MSNBC.com--May 1, 2008

Could rate cuts be a thing of the immediate past?  According to the above linked article, they could be.

I made a prediction in an April 21, 2008 blog entry that the Fed rate cuts would be in the short-term rates. Well, it seems my prediction was correct.

The Fed announced a 25 basis point cut in short-term rates effecting Credit Cards and Home Equity Lines of Credit.  What was interesting about the last Fed meeting of April 29 & 30 was that it signalled a slowdown on future rate cuts.

What does it all mean? It means that inflationary concerns are being monitored very closely and it could mean that rates could start rising in response to consumer prices rising too sharply.  The million dollar question is: will the increases in interest rates be gradual or sharp and is now the time to lock-in a fixed rate mortgage?  What do you think? Please share your comments below.

Could My Prediction Be Right?

'Timing' Market Big Risk for First-Time Buyers

Bankrate.com April 29, 2008

On April 5, 2008, there was an entry that discussed a trend that I started to notice relative to interest rates.

At that time, comments were made that it could be a risky proposition to try and time the bottom of the market because of the probability interest rates increasing would errode the "perceived" savings of a price drop.

At last, I see that an article was posted today that helps further support the idea that timing the market based on price is not a wise choice, especially for first-time homebuyers.

As I read the article, I agreed with most of the authors points except for their position on renting  vs. buying.  Do you believe it is better to pay rent vs building equity in a home, even when renting appears to be cheaper than a mortgage payment?  Please share your comments below.

Is Time Running Out?

First-Time Home Buyers' Few Options

Wall Street Journal, April 26,2008

The attached article talks about how difficult it is starting to become to qualify for a home purchase.

In previous entries I have mentioned that it was only a matter of time before lenders would become more stringent with their guidelines.  Well, the time has come to either take action or see your opportunity for home ownership dwindle.

There is one program that the article does not mention and that is the Nehemiah program.

The Nehemiah program provides gift funds for downpayment and closing costs to qualified homebuyers who use an eligible FHA or conventional loan.

The gifts are usually up to 6% of the contract sales price and the gift funds never have to be repaid.  The catch is that the Sellers have to be willing to participate by making a contribution to the Nehemiah Corporation equal to the gift. There is a small processing fee that has to be paid as well.

The time has never been better to make the Dream of Homeownership a reality! If you have used the program personally, please share your comments below.

Has the Real Estate Market Hit Bottom?

Home Sales Fall, but Signs of Stability Emerge

Wall Street Journal April 23, 2008

Has the Real Estate market hit bottom?  The above linked article makes some interesting points that I tend to agree with.

For example, I have noticed that prices declines are dropping at a decreasing rate. In other words, the price drops are not as drastic as they were one year ago.  What's more, I have noticed that Seller concessions are harder to negotiate. Eighteen months ago, one could have purchased a home and an included vacation package for one low price.

If I were in the market for a home, I would seriously consider buying now before two things eventually happen.

First, inflation is something that all consumers are dealing with and it is something that the Fed is monitoring.  Once inflation rises too much, the Fed will raise interest rates which will effect home loans. If you don't believe inflation is on the rise, please study gas prices and food costs.

Second, as the media starts to change its message that the market is stabilizing and Buyers feel it is time to get into the game, there will be a huge influx of demand that will drive prices up due to bidding wars.  I can already see this happening in the Bank Owned property arena.  

Now, one could make an argument that prices are going to drop some more, however, I would submit that price drops are not what one should worry about.  The greater concern should be how much interest rates are going to rise in response to inflation rates and stiffled demand.

Once Buyers figure out the time is right, the dream home one has always wanted my be nothing more than a dream.  Dont' miss out, buy today! Please share your comments below.

Is Your Home Equity Line of Credit Safe?

When a HELOC Freezes Over

CNN Money April 21, 2008

Imagine you have a Home Equity Line of Credit through your trusted bank and one day you receive a letter stating the bank is freezing your credit line! Think this can't happen to you?  Think again!

As a result of the thousands of mortgage defaults coupled with rising loan delinquencies, many financial institutions are reviewing Home Equity Lines of Credit (HELOC) accounts to determine if they should be frozen.

What banks are concerned about is the Loan-To-Value ratio of your equity line relative to the market value of the home being used as collateral. 

Since many neighborhoods have suffered declines in value, banks are concerned that one could completely expend one's Equity Line and the bank would have a home that could not be sold for what is owed.

The article above demonstrates a trend that could effect all of us that have HELOC accounts. Take a few moments to review and please share your comments below.  

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